Excess winter deaths

Graphs on this page:

Supporting information:

Key points

  • Each year in Wales around 1,500 more people aged 65 or over die in winter months than in other months.  In some years (e.g. 2008/09), the figure is much higher.
  • The proportion of excess winter deaths amongst those aged 65 and over in Wales is similar to that in all of the English regions.

Definitions and data sources

The graph shows the proportion of working-age adults who are classified as being at high risk of developing a mental illness, with the data shown separately for three groups of people: currently employed, currently unemployed, and long-term sick or disabled. Data for other work economic statuses. e.g. retired, family care and students, is not shown. In each case, the data is also shown separately for men and women.

The risk of developing a mental illness is assessed by asking informants a number of questions about general levels of happiness, depression, anxiety and sleep disturbance over the previous four weeks, which are designed to detect possible psychiatric morbidity. A score is constructed from the responses, and the figures published show those with a score of 4 or more. This is referred to as a ‘high GHQ12 score’.

The data source is the British Household Panel Survey. To improve its statistical reliability, the data is the average for the latest five years.

Overall adequacy of the indicator: medium. The graph does not measure mental ill health directly, but provides a guide to numbers who display some of the symptoms and are therefore at risk.