United Kingdom

In mortgage arrears

Key points

  • Around 16,000 mortgage holders were in serious arrears in 2007.  Although slightly higher than three years earlier, this number is still lower than it was at the start of this decade and just just a tenth what it was in the early 1990s.
  • By contrast, court orders for re-possession have trebled since 2003 and, at 51,000 in 2007, are now back to the levels of the early 1990s.
  • Mortgage owners are a far more diverse group than they once were.  14% of heads of households with a mortgage are now not in full-time work and therefore arguably in an economically vulnerable position.  This compares with 5% twenty five years ago.

top

Graph 1: Over time

View Graph as PDF   Right click to save large version of Graph as PNG

top

Graph 2: By population group

View Graph as PDF   Right click to save large version of Graph as PNG

top

Why this indicator was originally chosen

The 1980s saw a rapid contraction of social housing and expansion of home owners buying their home with the help of a mortgage.  A large part of this was due to the government's 'Right to Buy' policy which allowed council tenants to buy their homes from the local authority. It also left a considerable local variation in the availability of council housing.

With owner occupation at a far higher level, large numbers of people became vulnerable to arrears, re-possession and negative equity during the downturn in the housing market in the early 1990s.  Reduced job security meant that that those with a mortgage were more likely than before to find themselves unable to maintain the repayments on the money they had borrowed.  Falling house prices in the 1990s, a result in part of lower inflation, meant that the home might have to be sold for less than it was bought, leaving the erstwhile owner with a continuing, insupportable debt.

Although much less of an issue than in the early 1990s, mortgage debts continue to represent a problem for many people, with powerful detrimental effects on standards of living and on stress.  This indicator therefore tracks the number of households over 12 months in arrears with their mortgage.

top

Definitions and data sources

The first graph shows both the number of residential mortgage holders who were a year or more in arrears with their mortgage repayments at the end of each of the years shown and the number of court orders made for mortgage repossession during each year.  Note the number of orders excludes suspended orders, as these do not directly relate to repossessions.

The data source for mortgage arrears is the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) and relates to the United Kingdom.  The figures are based on a sample which typically averages 85% of the total mortgage market in any given year.  The data source for court orders is the UK Housing Review table 53, which in turn obtained its data from Ministry of Justice, and the data relates to England and Wales.

The second graph shows the proportion of households with mortgages where the head of the household has the economic status shown.  The total is effectively the proportion of households with mortgages where the head of the household is not in full-time work.  The data is from the Survey of English Housing and relates to England only.

Overall adequacy of the indicator: high.  The data for both arrears and court orders is produced regularly and is considered to be reliable.

top

External links

top

Relevant 2007 Public Service Agreements

None directly relevant.

top

The numbers

Graph 1

Year Mortgages more than 12 months in arrears Court orders for repossession
1987 15,000 25,800
1988 10,300 25,300
1989 13,800 28,100
1990 36,100 54,700
1991 91,700 73,900
1992 147,000 43,000
1993 151,800 32,000
1994 117,100 30,500
1995 85,200 27,800
1996 67,000 22,500
1997 45,200 22,500
1998 34,900 25,300
1999 29,500 23,600
2000 20,800 20,400
2001 18,200 17,800
2002 16,500 16,200
2003 12,700 16,700
2004 11,000 20,300
2005 15,000 33,100
200616,100 46,000
200715,600 51,000

Graph 2

Year Part-time employment Unemployed Economically inactive Total
1981 1% 3% 1% 5%
1993/94 4% 6% 8% 18%
1996/97 4% 2% 5% 11%
1997/98 4% 2% 9% 15%
1998/99 5% 1% 9% 15%
1999/00 4% 1% 9% 15%
2000/01 4% 1% 9% 14%
2001/02 6% 1% 8% 14%
2002/03 6% 1% 7% 13%
2003/04 6% 1% 6% 13%
2004/05 6% 1% 6% 13%
2005/06 6% 1% 6% 14%
2006/077% 1% 6% 14%

top

New Policy Institute, 003 Coppergate House, 16 Brune Street, London E1 7NJ

Tel: 020 7721 8421 | Fax: 020 7721 8422 | info@npi.org.uk | www.npi.org.uk